Forex News
EUR/USD: Why the rate differential still sets the ceiling on any euro rally
Every euro rally of the past two years has run into the same wall: the spread between what the market expects from the Fed and what…
EUR/USD
Live EUR/USD chart, technical rating, community positioning and the latest euro coverage.
The most heavily traded currency pair in the world, and the cleanest expression of the policy gap between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.
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Analysis
Weekly forecast: the US dollar and the three questions that decide the week
A scenario framework for the dollar index rather than a single prediction: what has to happen for each path, and the level that invalidates it.
Technical Analysis
Trading the London and New York overlap: the four hours that make the day
Roughly 12:00 to 16:00 GMT is when depth peaks, spreads tighten and most daily ranges are completed. Here is how to structure a session around it.
Central Banks
Why inflation data moves currencies less than the reaction function does
A hot inflation print is only bullish for a currency if the market believes the central bank will respond to it. Half of macro trading is…
Latest market coverage
EUR/USD: Why the rate differential still sets the ceiling on any euro rally
Every euro rally of the past two years has run into the same wall: the spread between what the market…
Gold: the three inputs that actually explain XAU/USD, and the one that does not
Real yields, official-sector buying and the dollar do most of the work in gold. Inflation headlines, despite the folklore, do…
Bitcoin: how the four-year cycle framework holds up now that institutions set the marginal price
The halving cycle shaped every previous Bitcoin bull market. With regulated funds now setting the marginal bid, the framework needs…
Central banks: what a policy statement actually tells you, line by line
The rate decision is rarely the news. The market trades the changed adjectives, the vote split and the projections —…